Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Levante had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.