Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.21% | 26.62% | 50.18% |
Both teams to score 45.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.81% | 58.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.16% | 78.84% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% | 40.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% | 77.35% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% | 23.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% | 57.26% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.21% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.21% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 13.84% 0-2 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-3 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 4.39% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 7 | 36 | 56 |
2 | Real Madrid | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 17 | 29 | 51 |
3 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 43 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Real BetisBetis | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 34 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 32 |
8 | Villarreal | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 31 |
10 | Osasuna | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
11 | GironaGirona | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
13 | Espanyol | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 24 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 |
15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 24 |
16 | Almeria | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 22 |
17 | CadizCadiz | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 22 |
18 | Valencia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 20 |
19 | Getafe | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 19 |
20 | ElcheElche | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 9 |
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