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J1 League | Gameweek 11
Apr 22, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Nagoya Grampus
2 - 0
Gamba Osaka
Yamasaki (29'), Soma (55')
Yamasaki (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Shoji (62'), Usami (88')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawGamba Osaka
43.02%29.75%27.23%
Both teams to score 40.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.16%65.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.52%84.47%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49%30.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27%66.72%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.53%41.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.03%77.97%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 43.01%
    Gamba Osaka 27.22%
    Draw 29.74%
Nagoya GrampusDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 15.01%
2-0 @ 8.92%
2-1 @ 7.85%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.05%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 43.01%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 12.64%
2-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.74%
0-1 @ 11.13%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka

Nagoya Grampus
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Gamba Osaka
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 7am
gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Soma (82')
Naruse (58')

Kaneko (18')
Sep 23, 2020 11am
Gamba Osaka
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Yamamoto (53'), Usami (87')
Takao (35')
Kanazaki (21')
Yonemoto (41'), Nakatani (51'), Oh (79')
Jul 8, 2020 11.30am
Nagoya Grampus
2-2
Gamba Osaka
Mateus (16'), Xavier (31')
Yonemoto (3'), Inagaki (70')
Miura (6'), Watanabe (90+2')
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