Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.