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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Heracles |
42.57% | 27.6% | 29.83% |
Both teams to score 47.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.13% | 57.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.41% | 78.58% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.12% | 26.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.81% | 62.19% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% | 34.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% | 71.66% |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 12.33% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.15% Total : 29.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
3 | Ajax | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 40 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 39 |
5 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 37 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 20 |
15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
17 | Groningen | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 13 |
18 | Cambuur | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 12 |
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