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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
23.39% | 21.96% | 54.64% |
Both teams to score 60.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.07% | 38.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.75% | 61.25% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% | 29.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.98% | 66.02% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.75% | 14.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.99% | 42.01% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.05% 1-0 @ 5.14% 2-0 @ 3.1% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.05% Total : 23.39% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 6.34% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.56% 2-4 @ 1.87% 1-5 @ 1.21% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 63 | 22 | 41 | 46 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 44 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 43 |
5 | FC Twente | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
8 | Heerenveen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 30 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 26 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
13 | Vitesse | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 23 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 20 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
17 | Groningen | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 14 |
18 | Cambuur | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 13 |
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