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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
71.03% | 16.72% | 12.25% |
Both teams to score 55.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.06% | 33.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.19% | 55.8% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.54% | 8.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.64% | 29.36% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.63% | 39.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.93% | 76.07% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 8.37% 1-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 5.17% 4-1 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 3.63% 5-0 @ 2.55% 5-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 2.24% 5-2 @ 1.11% 6-0 @ 1.05% 6-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.07% Total : 71.02% | 1-1 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 4.41% 0-0 @ 3.33% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.72% | 1-2 @ 3.57% 0-1 @ 3.11% 0-2 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.64% Total : 12.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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