Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
