Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
