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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Cambuur
Emmen
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
NEC
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam logo
AZ
0 - 1
Sparta

Meerdink (45+4'), Lahdo (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lauritsen (45+1')
Lauritsen (22'), Abels (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam

AZ's dominance in this fixture points to a comfortable victory for them come the sound of the final whistle. While we expect anything but a straightforward affair here, we can see the home side carrying the day, albeit in narrow fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 14.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawSparta Rotterdam
67.18% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 18.66% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 14.16% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.35% (0.013999999999996 0.01)38.65% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02)60.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.41%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.64% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (0.029 0.03)76.32% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 67.18%
    Sparta Rotterdam 14.16%
    Draw 18.66%
AZ AlkmaarDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.32%
4-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.84%
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 67.18%
1-1 @ 8.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.66%
1-2 @ 4.04% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 3.89%
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 14.16%

How you voted: AZ vs Sparta

AZ Alkmaar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sparta Rotterdam
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 3.45pm
Sparta
2-3
AZ
Van Crooij (1', 59')
Verschueren (36'), van Crooij (38'), Steijn (90+1')
Pavlidis (45+1' pen.), De Wit (57'), Milos (65')
Martins Indi (38'), de Wit (38')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Dec 5, 2021 1.30pm
AZ
3-1
Sparta
Karlsson (27' pen., 31'), Pavlidis (58')
Pavlidis (45')
Auassar (19')
Apr 10, 2021 7pm
AZ
2-0
Sparta
Clasie (13'), De Wit (66')

Pinto (71')
Oct 4, 2020 1.30pm
Sparta
4-4
AZ
Harroui (57'), Abels (64'), Thy (88' pen.), Mijnans (90')
Mijnans (90+5')
Aboukhlal (9', 19'), De Wit (14', 33')
Bizot (55'), Boadu (56'), Aboukhlal (67')
Bizot (85')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFeyenoord34257281305182
2PSV EindhovenPSV34236589404975
3Ajax34209586384869
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34207768353367
5FC Twente341810666273964
6Sparta RotterdamSparta34178960372359
7FC UtrechtUtrecht34159105550554
8Heerenveen341210124450-646
9RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk34118155064-1441
10Vitesse341010144550-540
11Go Ahead Eagles341010144656-1040
12NECNijmegen34815114245-339
13Fortuna SittardSittard34106183962-2336
14FC VolendamVolendam34106184271-2936
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3495203271-3932
16EmmenEmmen34610183365-3228
RCambuur3454252669-4319
RGroningen3446243175-4418

Real Madrid Until The End
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