Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
