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Leicester logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Newport County
Leicester
3 - 0
Newport
Justin (44'), Vardy (70', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Leicester City and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 4-0 Newport County

As impressive as Newport have been on home soil recently, winning away from home has not been so simple for the League Two side, who should not expect miracles at the King Power. Leicester will certainly not field a full-strength XI, but with form on their side and an impeccable defensive record to boast about, we expect the Foxes to cruise through to round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNewport County
51.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)49.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (0.011999999999993 0.01)50.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.042000000000002 0.04)34.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.043999999999997 0.04)71.69% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 51.44%
    Newport County 24.1%
    Draw 24.45%
Leicester CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Leicester vs Newport

Leicester City
89.9%
Draw
2.5%
Newport County
7.6%
79
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2019 4.30pm
Newport
2-1
Leicester
Matt (10'), Amond (85' pen.)
Ghezzal (82')
Okazaki (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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