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Chelsea logo
EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Middlesbrough logo
Chelsea
6 - 1
Middlesbrough
Howson (15' og.), Fernandez (29'), Disasi (36'), Palmer (42', 77'), Madueke (81')
Mudryk (12'), Silva (53')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Rogers (88')
Crooks (40'), van den Berg (64')
The Match
Match Report
Chelsea hammer Middlesbrough 6-1 to emphatically book their place in the EFL Cup final at Wembley on February 25.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Middlesbrough.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Tuesday's EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Middlesbrough.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Middlesbrough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Fulham
Saturday, January 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawMiddlesbrough
45.23% (-0.389 -0.39) 24.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 30.32% (0.351 0.35)
Both teams to score 57.7% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.11% (0.020999999999994 0.02)44.88% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)67.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.157 -0.16)19.96% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (-0.256 -0.26)52.13% (0.254 0.25)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.24900000000001 0.25)27.9% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.315 0.31)63.52% (-0.317 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 45.23%
    Middlesbrough 30.32%
    Draw 24.45%
ChelseaDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.23%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.32%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Middlesbrough

Chelsea
81.9%
Draw
9.7%
Middlesbrough
8.3%
144
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Middlesbrough
1-0
Chelsea
Hackney (37')
Jones (90+3')

Colwill (30')
Mar 19, 2022 5.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Middlesbrough
0-2
Chelsea

Howson (87'), Peltier (89')
Lukaku (15'), Ziyech (31')
Nov 20, 2016 4pm
Feb 27, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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