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Charlton Athletic
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Brighton logo
Charlton
0 - 0
Brighton

Leaburn (34')
FT
Charlton win 4-3 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton may be a little rusty, having only just reassembled their full squad, but an abundance of top-tier quality is available to ambitious boss De Zerbi. Eager to continue making his mark at the South Coast club, the highly-regarded Italian will surely take Wednesday's tie seriously, which bodes ill for a Charlton side in some disarray. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
31.81% (1.065 1.07) 23.99% (0.473 0.47) 44.2% (-1.536 -1.54)
Both teams to score 60.1% (-1.146 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-1.743 -1.74)42.07% (1.744 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-1.771 -1.77)64.47% (1.772 1.77)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.19 -0.19)25.56% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.264 -0.26)60.43% (0.265 0.27)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-1.33 -1.33)19.26% (1.331 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-2.239 -2.24)50.98% (2.24 2.24)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 31.81%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.2%
    Draw 23.99%
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.477 0.48)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.301 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.81%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.2%

How you voted: Charlton vs Brighton

Charlton Athletic
17.1%
Draw
3.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
78.9%
76
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Charlton
1-1
Brighton
Sarr (82')
Gross (47')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Dec 5, 2015 3pm
Brighton
3-2
Charlton
Wilson (50'), Zamora (83'), Hemed (84')
Calderon (45'), Stephens (75'), March (90')
Lookman (2'), Ghoochannejhad (6')
Cousins (44'), Henderson (45'), Fox (90'), Solly (91')
Bauer (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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