Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 12.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.