Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
