Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.23%) and 3-2 (4.74%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuba would win this match.