Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.