Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Wuhan Zall had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Wuhan Zall win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
