Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.