Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
