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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
29.83% | 28.98% | 41.19% |
Both teams to score 43.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.42% | 62.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.84% | 82.16% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.52% | 37.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.74% | 74.26% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% | 29.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% | 66% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 6.52% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.73% Total : 29.82% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.96% | 0-1 @ 13.52% 0-2 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-3 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 0.99% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.42% Total : 41.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 33 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 22 |
4 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 21 |
5 | Southampton | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
6 | Sunderland | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 19 |
7 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Bristol City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Hull City | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
13 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
14 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
15 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 12 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 8 |
23 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 6 |
24 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 |
> Championship Full Table |