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Mar 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Cardiff City Stadium
Championship | Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baker (23')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

The two sides meet with contrasting levels of confidence, and we back the Bluebirds to continue their improvement. O'Neill will feel that his side need a victory to salvage their season and for him to gain some favour back in Staffordshire, but we expect them to fall just short given their lack of momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
34.92%28.44%36.64%
Both teams to score 46.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.13%59.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86%80.14%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62%32.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11%68.89%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73%31.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37%67.63%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.91%
    Stoke City 36.64%
    Draw 28.43%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.43%
0-1 @ 11.77%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.64%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
64.9%
Draw
24.7%
Stoke City
10.4%
77
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd422571065362982
3Luton TownLuton432015854371775
4Middlesbrough432281382523074
5Coventry CityCoventry4417151255451066
6Millwall441811155144765
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn42197164648-264
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom421712135445963
9Sunderland431614136152962
10Norwich CityNorwich441711165651562
11Swansea CitySwansea441711166461362
12Preston North EndPreston431711154351-862
13Watford441514155251159
14Bristol City441414165254-256
15Hull City441414165060-1056
16Stoke CityStoke441411195551453
17Birmingham CityBirmingham441411194654-853
18Queens Park RangersQPR441211214369-2647
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham431016174758-1146
20Cardiff CityCardiff431210213852-1446
21Huddersfield TownHuddersfield431111214261-1944
22Reading441310214565-2043
23Blackpool441011234569-2441
24Wigan AthleticWigan441013213764-2740

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