Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.