Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Celje had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.