MX23RW : Thursday, May 18 03:29:14| >> :120:14483:14483:
Milan logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 14, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Dinamo Zagreb
AC Milan
3 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb
Giroud (45' pen.), Saelemaekers (47'), Pobega (77')
Pioli (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Orsic (56')
Orsic (74'), Marin (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Dinamo Zagreb, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, September 6 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb

As Rafael Leao may feel he has a point to prove before his domestic suspension kicks in for Sunday's clash with Napoli, the talented winger may play an integral role in getting Milan off the mark in Group E. Victory will not come easily, though, as Dinamo possess several players of the calibre and European experience to score at least once and push the home side close. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawDinamo Zagreb
56.66% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 21.27% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 22.07% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.78% (-0.169 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (-0.159 -0.16)37.23% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.56% (-0.171 -0.17)59.44% (0.172 0.17)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)13.06% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.37% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)39.64% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)30.1% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (-0.208 -0.21)66.24% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.66%
    Dinamo Zagreb 22.07%
    Draw 21.27%
AC MilanDrawDinamo Zagreb
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 8% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.64%
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 22.07%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Dinamo Zagreb

AC Milan
74.0%
Draw
11.5%
Dinamo Zagreb
14.5%
442
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351812563313266
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341771066452158
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!