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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
46.32% | 26.89% | 26.79% |
Both teams to score 47.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.28% | 56.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.33% | 77.67% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.54% | 24.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.09% | 58.91% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% | 36.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% | 73.51% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.31% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 43 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Freiburg | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 36 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 30 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 27 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
12 | FC Koln | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 23 |
13 | Augsburg | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 21 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 19 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 19 |
16 | Stuttgart | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 12 |
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