Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.61%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
