Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Palmeiras.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
