Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
