Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
