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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 11, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Boca Juniors
1 - 1
Lanus
Benedetto (88')
Medina (34'), Varela (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (45+1')
Orozco (49'), Jose Caceres (52'), Lema (84'), Esquivel (85'), Aguirre (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Lanus

Although Lanus head into this match in better form, we expect Boca Juniors to record a win for the fourth time in their last five league games this weekend. The hosts have made a disappointing defence of their title so far this season, but they still have time to turn things around, and had looked capable of doing so before Weigandt's red card cost them in their last league match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
52.89% (-0.654 -0.65) 27.41% (0.156 0.16) 19.7% (0.499 0.5)
Both teams to score 39.49% (0.285 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)63.7% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)82.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (-0.294 -0.29)24.5% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)58.96% (0.42 0.42)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.3% (0.58 0.58)47.7% (-0.577 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99% (0.425 0.42)83.01% (-0.422 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 52.88%
    Lanus 19.7%
    Draw 27.4%
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
1-0 @ 16.43% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 11.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 52.88%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 19.7%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Lanus

Boca Juniors
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Lanus
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 1.30am
Apr 17, 2022 11pm
gameweek 10
Boca Juniors
1-1
Lanus
Villa (5')
Rojo (41'), Campuzano (54'), Vasquez (90+4')
Sand (25')
Acosta (35'), Di Placido (49'), Pasquini (73'), Braghieri (90+4')
Oct 10, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
4-2
Lanus
Weigandt (32'), Almendra (38'), Vasquez (50'), Pavon (90+3' pen.)
Malcorra (23'), Braghieri (82')
May 2, 2021 2pm
First Phase
Boca Juniors
1-0
Lanus
Izquierdoz (75')
Almendra (45'), Medina (52'), Capaldo (68'), Belmonte (73'), Soldano (86'), Maroni (89'), Manuel Lopez (90+4')
Nov 20, 2020 10.20pm
Group Stage
Boca Juniors
1-2
Lanus
Abila (86')
Lopez (52'), Zarate (52'), Abila (55'), Jara (70'), Capaldo (71'), Buffarini (82'), Cardona (89')
Orsini (28', 45')
Morales (44'), Belmonte (54')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group A
1Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs00000000
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal00000000
3Atletico TucumanTucuman00000000
4BanfieldBanfield00000000
5Barracas Central00000000
6ColonColon00000000
7GimnasiaGimnasia00000000
8HuracanHuracan00000000
9IndependienteIndependiente00000000
10Instituto00000000
11River PlateRiver Plate00000000
12Rosario CentralRosario00000000
13TalleresTalleres00000000
14Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield00000000
Group B
1BelgranoBelgrano00000000
2Boca Juniors00000000
3Central CordobaC. Cordoba00000000
4Defensa y JusticiaDefensa00000000
5EstudiantesEstudiantes00000000
6Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz00000000
7LanusLanus00000000
8Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB00000000
9Platense00000000
10Racing ClubRacing00000000
11San Lorenzo00000000
12Sarmiento00000000
13TigreTigre00000000
14UnionUnion00000000
 
First Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate18132331112041
2TalleresTalleres20124435171840
3San Lorenzo1910631971236
4EstudiantesEstudiantes1910542516935
5Rosario CentralRosario209742923634
6LanusLanus199642718933
7BelgranoBelgrano199461715231
8Defensa y JusticiaDefensa1886423121130
9Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz198562221129
10Boca Juniors208482318528
11Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB197661615127
12Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs197572217526
13Platense207582124-326
14Sarmiento206771817125
15Central CordobaC. Cordoba196581621-523
16Barracas Central205871926-723
17Racing ClubRacing186482227-522
18TigreTigre205781823-522
19GimnasiaGimnasia196491627-1122
20IndependienteIndependiente204972023-321
21Instituto195681525-1021
22ColonColon1931151720-320
23Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield183961819-118
24Atletico TucumanTucuman193971522-718
25HuracanHuracan194691523-818
26UnionUnion184681222-1018
27BanfieldBanfield194691222-1018
28Arsenal SarandiArsenal2052131527-1217

Real Madrid Until The End
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