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Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 5
May 9, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm
Malmo
3 - 2
Varbergs
Birmancevic (12'), Nielsen (61'), Rieks (79')
Nalic (49'), Inge Berget (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stanisic (26'), Adjei (81')
Simovic (34'), Le Roux (52'), Mensah (56'), Winbo (86')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawVarbergs BoIS
67.75%18.44%13.81%
Both teams to score 53.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.61%38.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.32%60.68%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61%10.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.07%33.93%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03%39.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.38%76.62%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 67.75%
    Varbergs BoIS 13.81%
    Draw 18.44%
MalmoDrawVarbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 9.41%
3-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 7.37%
4-0 @ 4.55%
4-1 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 3.38%
5-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 67.75%
1-1 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.48%
0-0 @ 4.16%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.44%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-1 @ 3.81%
0-2 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.37%
1-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 13.81%

Head to Head
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
gameweek 29
Varbergs
3-2
Malmo
Ayer (25'), Barny (52'), Seljmani (80')
Seljmani (34')
Nielsen (64'), Larsson (90+3')
Nielsen (78')
Jun 21, 2020 1.30pm
gameweek 8
Malmo
2-2
Varbergs
Rieks (7'), Kiese Thelin (83')
Christiansen (35'), Nielsen (90+2')
Christiansen (37')
Johansson (9'), Norlin (75')
Fofana (60'), Birkfeldt (84')
Content continues below the video

rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo66001731418
2HackenHacken65011771015
3ElfsborgElfsborg64111441013
4KalmarKalmar632194511
5IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping632196311
6BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna6303710-39
7Mjallby AIF62225508
8Djurgardens IFDjurgarden621369-37
9Varnamo620447-36
10HammarbyHammarby6204812-46
11Degerfors6204715-86
12Halmstads BKHalmstad6204614-86
13SiriusSirius605158-35
14AIK FotbollAIK612336-35
15IFK GoteborgGoteborg61147614
16Varbergs BoISVarbergs6042311-84

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