Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
