Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
