Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
25.64% ( -0.15) | 23.28% ( 0.18) | 51.08% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.26% ( -0.97) | 42.74% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.86% ( -0.97) | 65.14% ( 0.97) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( -0.64) | 30.17% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% ( -0.77) | 66.32% ( 0.77) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% ( -0.37) | 16.82% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.21% ( -0.66) | 46.79% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 25.64% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 52 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 42 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 28 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 27 |
12 | Macarthur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 26 |
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