Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Arsenal Women win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
