Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
