Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
