Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
