Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
