Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
