Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
