Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
