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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jan 31, 2021 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional
2 - 1
Wanderers
Orihuela (24'), Carballo (47')
Orihuela (40'), (64')
Orihuela (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perez (8')
Barreto (25'), Araujo (37'), Bueno (81'), (90+4')
Araujo (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMontevideo Wanderers
37.96%28.17%33.88%
Both teams to score 47.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.02%58.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.54%79.46%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97%30.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.85%66.15%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84%69.16%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 37.95%
    Montevideo Wanderers 33.87%
    Draw 28.17%
NacionalDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.78%
2-1 @ 7.94%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.17%
0-1 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.87%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2021 11pm
Nacional
0-0
Wanderers
Nacional win 4-1 on penalties

Trasante (78'), Orihuela (79')

Martinez (40'), Barreto (49')
Mar 8, 2020 11pm
gameweek 3
Wanderers
2-2
Nacional
Barboza (41'), Acuna (88')
Acuna (7'), Barboza (27'), Izquierdo (45')
Bergessio (1'), Magallanes (24')
Jacquet (7'), Laborda (45'), Ocampo (66'), (90')
Jacquet (90')
Sep 20, 2019 12am
Wanderers
0-1
Nacional

Araujo (60'), Macaluso (62'), Albarracin (64'), Ginella (82'), Bueno (87')
Ocampo (10')
Corujo (25'), Rodriguez (64'), Carballo (69'), Cotugno (84')
Feb 26, 2019 11pm
Nacional
1-4
Wanderers
Rivero (11')
Castro (46')
Gonzalez (30'), Pastorini (34', 44'), Cabrera (82')
Andueza (16'), Pastorini (35'), Albarracin (45'), Barrandeguy (72')
Sep 15, 2018 10.30pm
gameweek 9
Nacional
1-3
Wanderers
Bergessio (73')
Cotugno (69'), Castro (75'), Aguiar (76')
Albarracin (63'), Pastorini (66' pen., 84')
Colombino (37'), Riolfo (76'), Gularte (76')
Content continues below the video

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1283120101027
2NacionalNacional126421991022
3Cerro Largo12642118322
4Defensor SportingDefensor125522011920
5Montevideo WanderersWanderers12543138519
6LiverpoolLiverpool124531714317
7River PlateRiver Plate124441414016
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124441317-416
9Montevideo City TorqueTorque123451216-415
10DanubioDanubio123541813514
11Racing de MontevideoRacing123541213-114
12Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia124171222-1013
13La Luz123451823-512
14CerroCerro122551115-411
15Boston RiverBoston River122461117-610
16FenixFenix12237819-119

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