Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
