Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
