Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 47.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
