Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 45.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
