Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.